Projected BCS Bowls and pre bowl Top Ten BCS rankings

[JamesHowell]

The selection for the non-anchor teams this year is Orange, then Fiesta, then Sugar.

Also, the Rose has agreed to take a qualified non-BCS team the first time one is eligible and one of the anchors is in the CG. That won't be this year. So, in your scenario, the teams are as follows:

CG: Florida vs. Texas

Rose: tOSU vs. Oregon
Sugar: #1 pick (UF replacement) vs. #5 pick
Fiesta: #2 pick (UT replacement vs. #4 pick
Orange: GIT vs. #3 pick

Alabama and USC are good guesses for the first two (replacement picks)
Orange at #3 could very well take Cincy, but might very well opt for a Big Ten team.
Fiesta at #4 would take a Big Ten team if the Orange doesn't. If the Orange takes a Big Ten team, the Fiesta has to choose between Cincy and TCU; neither is all that good of a draw, but TCU is closer would be the likely choice.
Sugar with the lasty pick likely ends up with Cincy or TCU, whichever is left.

[ZOOMBAG]

Originally Posted by JamesHowell

The selection for the non-anchor teams this year is Orange, then Fiesta, then Sugar.

Also, the Rose has agreed to take a qualified non-BCS team the first time one is eligible and one of the anchors is in the CG. That won't be this year. So, in your scenario, the teams are as follows:

CG: Florida vs. Texas

Rose: tOSU vs. Oregon
Sugar: #1 pick (UF replacement) vs. #5 pick
Fiesta: #2 pick (UT replacement vs. #4 pick
Orange: GIT vs. #3 pick

Alabama and USC are good guesses for the first two (replacement picks)
Orange at #3 could very well take Cincy, but might very well opt for a Big Ten team.
Fiesta at #4 would take a Big Ten team if the Orange doesn't. If the Orange takes a Big Ten team, the Fiesta has to choose between Cincy and TCU; neither is all that good of a draw, but TCU is closer would be the likely choice.
Sugar with the lasty pick likely ends up with Cincy or TCU, whichever is left.

Seven mandatory selections, the six AQ conference winners and either TCU or BSU. That leaves three at-large. Assuming Florida and Alabama win out and play each other in the SEC title game, the loser most certain gets on of them. I will assume Iowa wins out leaving no other viable, attractive big 10 team. If USC should lose another they would be out and no one else from the PAC 10 would be attractive or even eligable. Pickin's get pretty slim in a hurry with a few untimely losses. You'd have a slate of two loss conference also-rans and a second undefeated nonAQ team.... and ......

I think with only 2 losses Notre Dame is still in the mix, too.

[JamesHowell]

Notre Dame is clearly in the mix if they win out, but they have to get to at least #14 (currently #22). They have two tough road games left.

The Big Ten has a one loss PSU that is very attractive right now and would likely still be an at-large pick at 10-2 unless tOSU is also at 10-2 in which case, tOSU is in the Rose and Iowa becomes an at-large. At this point it is reasonable to assume both the SEC and Big Ten get at-large slots.