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View Full Version : What a playoff race looks like - part 2


CJHawkeyes
11-16-2008, 12:51 AM
I have applied my ideas to the FCS season to see how they compare to the actual results and based on the current highest ranked teams winning out next week, the playoff field would look as follows:

1-James Madison (A) 64
2-Appalachian State (A) 57
3-South Carolina State (A) 48
4-Montana (W) 47
5-Villanova (W) 46
6-Wofford (W) 46
7-Weber State (A) 45
8-Richmond (W) 44
9-Cal Poly (W) 44
10-Northern Iowa (A) 41
11-New Hampshire (W) 41
12-Southern Illinois (W) 40
13-Elon 39 (W)
14-Tennessee-Martin (A) 34
15-Colgate (A) 32
16-Texas State (A) 16

Based on my format, only four teams listed above have clinched playoff berths with one week to go. The top three teams, which have clinched their conference titles, and Cal Poly, which has clinched a wildcard berth prior to its season finale at Wisconsin. There are still five auto bids at stake under my format although the top contenders in two will both qualify with wins in their final games. Two of the three remaining conferences have season-ending showdowns for their auto bid. In the OVC, Tennessee-Martin hosts Eastern Kentucky in a winner take all game. The same holds true in the Patriot League as Colgate hosts Holy Cross. In the Southland, there are still three teams alive. McNeese State controls its destiny but must win at defacto champion Central Arkansas who is ineligible. Lose and control shifts to Texas State and Northwestern State in that order.

As for the wildcards, there are two winner take all season finales. New Hampshire at Maine and Richmond at William & Mary. Elon at Liberty is a third potential play-in game but Liberty would need Dayton to lose at Jacksonville in what is a showdown for the Pioneer League title.

Of course, in the actual FCS, only the top four are seeded and guaranteed home games as result. Money dictates home teams among the remaining teams. Under my format, seeds determine all home teams. Among the four playoff locks, three would have at least two home games at stake. James Madison has the least to lose in their final game. The worst fate for them would be a three seed but that would require Cal Poly beating Wisconsin.

While this is all hypothetical, only four playoff berths have been clinched with one week to go, five of eight conference races are undecided, there are four and possibly five winner take all season finales, and no one can take anything for granted by resting their starters. Again, this is what could be at stake in the final weekend of the regular season. Can the BCS even match that in the final month of the season?

EvilVodka
11-16-2008, 08:06 AM
bleh

you can keep your 16 team playoff

Blue Hen
11-16-2008, 09:43 AM
Common knowlwedge, CJH, common knowledge.....there would be 5X as many 'meaningful' games in a 16 team playoff system than in this BCS style 'election' system.

CJHawkeyes
11-16-2008, 02:56 PM
bleh

you can keep your 16 team playoff

Don't like competition?:D

GatorGrad
11-16-2008, 03:04 PM
Would love to see a 16 or even 8 team playoff. But it's not remotely close to happening. We're stuck with the current 2 team BCS playoff through at least the 2013 season. I'm just hoping that we can get a 4 team mini playoff starting with the 2014 season.

Blue Hen
11-16-2008, 09:48 PM
In a CBS '60 Minute' interview I just watched, President Obama said he'd "throw his weight around a little bit" in lobbying for a CF championship.

GatorGrad
11-16-2008, 10:40 PM
I saw that Hen...although it seems as if his plan calls for an 8-team playoff, not 16.....either way, if anything it would be great to see someone like him bring more awareness to the topic and put pressure on the powers that be to consider change more seriously in the future.

Bucs90
11-16-2008, 10:56 PM
Common knowlwedge, CJH, common knowledge.....there would be 5X as many 'meaningful' games in a 16 team playoff system than in this BCS style 'election' system.

Hen, have you noticed the sort of unofficial "playoff" we are about to witness in college football?

We have coming up Texas Tech vs Oklahoma, the winner of which will probably end up Big 12 champ and have one helluva argument for the BCS NC game.

And we have the obvious monster showdown of Bama vs Florida (assuming both don't lose before then to Auburn or FSU) for the SEC Championship.

So, in a way, we have a 4 team playoff with Florida, Bama, Texas Tech and Oklahoma, which are 4 of my top 6 teams right now. Throw in Texas, Penn State or Southern Cal and you have the top 6.

Watch it and mark my words. The BCS supporters are gonna praise the SEC championship game showdown and say "See, with a playoff this game wouldn't matter."

Bucs90
11-16-2008, 10:57 PM
In a CBS '60 Minute' interview I just watched, President Obama said he'd "throw his weight around a little bit" in lobbying for a CF championship.


What? Are you serious? I'm probably the most anti-Obama person around. But, if he actually did that, I'd support him more. Really. It would be the best thing the federal government has done in years!!!! But, there isn't much competition for "best" lately!

Bucs90
11-16-2008, 11:01 PM
No, GatorGrad, I've seen Obama's college football playoff plan. Here it is:

First, after the regular season, disregard record, championships, stats, star players......everything. What a team has worked for and accomplished in the regular season means nothing. Take all 117 teams, and seed them equally. Spread the success, you may say. So, each team gets an equal chance in the playoffs, regardless of how hard they've worked or performed up to that point.

Fair enough, huh?

Blue Hen
11-17-2008, 09:45 AM
Oh yeah, I'm aware of the BCS supporters' arguements. Fact is, with the BCS mythical system there remains just a few 'meaningful' games regarding a so called NC. In an NCAA 16 team, all inclusive, championship there would be about 20 'meaningful' regular season games remaining. No comparrison, whatsover.......championships beat elections 10/1.

GatorGrad
11-17-2008, 12:46 PM
No, GatorGrad, I've seen Obama's college football playoff plan. Here it is:

First, after the regular season, disregard record, championships, stats, star players......everything. What a team has worked for and accomplished in the regular season means nothing. Take all 117 teams, and seed them equally. Spread the success, you may say. So, each team gets an equal chance in the playoffs, regardless of how hard they've worked or performed up to that point.

Fair enough, huh?

Good one! For what it's worth, I always vote RED. But this time around I just couldn't bring myself to vote for McCain so I wrote in my man Ron Paul...